17 Jul · 13:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel MalagaElite · Strong Favorite
MN
FN
🎾Nenno/Navarro
ELO 1566
FormWWLWW
94%Win chancemodel fair 1.06Stupaczuk/Yanguas
FS
MY
🎾Stupaczuk/Yanguas
ELO 1706
FormWWLWW
6%
94%
Fair odds · Stupaczuk/Yanguas
Model 94% · 1.06vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -2.5 · Stupaczuk/Yanguas covers
Model 86%vsMarket 51%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 2.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 72%Total ~24 games
0-2
72%
1-2
22%
2-1
4%
2-0
2%
Elo Gap+140
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)