18 Jul · 17:20 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel MalagaElite · Strong Favorite
LA
JL
🎾Lebron/Augsburger
ELO 1654
FormWWWLW
100%Win chancemodel fair 1.00Chingotto/Galan
FC
AG
🎾Chingotto/Galan
ELO 1946
FormWWWLW
0%
100%
Fair odds · Chingotto/Galan
Model 100% · 1.00vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -4.5 · Chingotto/Galan covers
Model 72%vsMarket 49%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 4.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 93%Total ~22 games
0-2
93%
1-2
7%
Elo Gap+292
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+292)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)