19 Jul · 16:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel MalagaElite · Strong Favorite
AC
AT
🎾Coello/Tapia
ELO 2003
FormWWWWW
100%Win chancemodel fair 1.00Coello/Tapia
LA
JL
🎾Lebron/Augsburger
ELO 1674
FormWWWWL
100%
0%
Fair odds · Coello/Tapia
Model 100% · 1.00vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -3.5 · Coello/Tapia covers
Model 80%vsMarket 50%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 3.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 95%Total ~22 games
2-0
95%
2-1
5%
Elo Gap+329
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+329)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)