30 Jul · 16:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel PretoriaElite · Strong Favorite
JG
LB
🎾Bergamini/Garrido
ELO 1901
FormWLWWW
96%Win chancemodel fair 1.04Galan/Chingotto
FC
AG
🎾Galan/Chingotto
ELO 2383
FormWLWWW
4%
96%
Fair odds · Galan/Chingotto
Model 96% · 1.04vsMarket 88% · 1.13· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -5.5 · Galan/Chingotto covers
Model 51%vsMarket 50%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 5.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 76%Total ~23 games
0-2
76%
1-2
19%
2-1
3%
2-0
2%
Elo Gap+482
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+482)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)