30 Jul · 17:30 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel PretoriaElite · Strong Favorite
IJ
JB
🎾Jofre/Bautista
ELO 1711
FormWLLWL
94%Win chancemodel fair 1.06Augsburger/Lebron
LA
JL
🎾Augsburger/Lebron
ELO 2132
FormWLWWW
6%
94%
Fair odds · Augsburger/Lebron
Model 94% · 1.06vsMarket 86% · 1.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -4.5 · Augsburger/Lebron covers
Model 63%vsMarket 51%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 4.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 72%Total ~24 games
0-2
72%
1-2
22%
2-1
4%
2-0
2%
Elo Gap+421
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+421)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)