31 Jul · 15:20 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel PretoriaElite · Strong Favorite
MA
JT
🎾Tello/Arce
ELO 1995
FormWWLWL
93%Win chancemodel fair 1.08Galan/Chingotto
FC
AG
🎾Galan/Chingotto
ELO 2388
FormWWLWW
7%
93%
Fair odds · Galan/Chingotto
Model 93% · 1.08vsMarket 88% · 1.13· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -5.5 · Galan/Chingotto covers
Model 51%vsMarket 50%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 5.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~24 games
0-2
69%
1-2
23%
2-1
5%
2-0
3%
Elo Gap+393
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+393)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)