5 Aug · 12:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel LondonElite · Strong Favorite
JG
LB
🎾Bergamini/Garrido
ELO 1896
FormLWLWW
90%Win chancemodel fair 1.11Bergamini/Garrido
JB
IP
🎾Belluati/Piotto
ELO 1561
FormWLW
90%
10%
Fair odds · Bergamini/Garrido
Model 90% · 1.11vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -4.5 · Bergamini/Garrido covers
Model 62%vsMarket 44%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 4.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 64%Total ~25 games
2-0
64%
2-1
26%
1-2
6%
0-2
4%
Elo Gap+335
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+335)