7 Aug · 12:30 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel LondonElite · Strong Favorite
MN
FN
🎾Nenno/Navarro
ELO 1995
FormWWLWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Nenno/Navarro
EA
AG
🎾Alonso/Goñi
ELO 1821
FormWWLWL
75%
25%
Fair odds · Nenno/Navarro
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -3.5 · Nenno/Navarro covers
Model 71%vsMarket 50%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 3.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~26 games
2-0
46%
2-1
30%
1-2
14%
0-2
11%
Elo Gap+174
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+174)