9 Aug · 17:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel LondonHigh · Clear Favorite
AC
AT
🎾Tapia/Coello
ELO 2506
FormWWWWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Tapia/Coello
FC
AG
🎾Chingotto/Galan
ELO 2426
FormWWWWW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Tapia/Coello
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -3.5 · Tapia/Coello covers
Model 51%vsMarket 54%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 3.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~26 games
2-0
34%
2-1
28%
1-2
20%
0-2
17%
Elo Gap+80
H2H25-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-13)