1 Sept · 14:10 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel Madrid. WomenElite · Strong Favorite
JL
MT
🎾Talavan/Lopez
ELO 1747
FormLWWWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Talavan/Lopez
JB
VR
🎾Bidahorria/Riera
ELO 1642
FormLWWWW
66%
34%
Fair odds · Talavan/Lopez
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -3.5 · Talavan/Lopez covers
Model 51%vsMarket 56%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 3.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~26 games
2-0
37%
2-1
29%
1-2
19%
0-2
15%
Elo Gap+105
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)