1 Sept · 14:10 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel Madrid. WomenLow · Slight Edge
EJ
CS
🎾Sirvent/Jensen
ELO 1457
FormL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sirvent/Jensen
SP
AP
🎾Perez/Perez
ELO 1443
FormLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Sirvent/Jensen
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 89% · 1.12· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 27%Total ~26 games
2-0
27%
2-1
26%
1-2
24%
0-2
24%
Elo Gap+14
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.