2 Sept · 16:30 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel MadridHigh · Clear Favorite
RP
JM
🎾Marmolejo/Pereyra
ELO 1722
FormWLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Alonso/Goñi
EA
AG
🎾Alonso/Goñi
ELO 1800
FormLWWLW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Alonso/Goñi
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -4.5 · Alonso/Goñi covers
Model 44%vsMarket 50%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 4.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~26 games
0-2
34%
1-2
28%
2-1
20%
2-0
17%
Elo Gap+78
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)