2 Sept · 16:30 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel MadridElite · Strong Favorite
JR
IP
🎾Piotto/Rubini
ELO 1526
FormW
91%Win chancemodel fair 1.10Nieto/Yanguas
MY
JN
🎾Nieto/Yanguas
ELO 1881
FormLWWWW
9%
91%
Fair odds · Nieto/Yanguas
Model 91% · 1.10vsMarket 83% · 1.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -4.5 · Nieto/Yanguas covers
Model 62%vsMarket 54%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 4.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 66%Total ~24 games
0-2
66%
1-2
25%
2-1
6%
2-0
4%
Elo Gap+355
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+355)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)