2 Sept · 18:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel MadridElite · Strong Favorite
CG
DG
🎾Geens/Guichard
ELO 1763
FormWWLWW
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Tello/Arce
MA
JT
🎾Tello/Arce
ELO 1990
FormLWLWW
19%
81%
Fair odds · Tello/Arce
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 88% · 1.13· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -5.5 · Tello/Arce covers
Model 51%vsMarket 46%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 5.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~25 games
0-2
52%
1-2
29%
2-1
11%
2-0
8%
Elo Gap+227
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+227)