3 Sept · 12:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel MadridElite · Strong Favorite
JS
FS
🎾Stupaczuk/Sanz
ELO 1820
FormWWWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Stupaczuk/Sanz
AA
JJ
🎾Jimenez/Arroyo
ELO 1718
FormWLWLW
66%
34%
Fair odds · Stupaczuk/Sanz
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 83% · 1.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -4.5 · Stupaczuk/Sanz covers
Model 44%vsMarket 50%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 4.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~26 games
2-0
37%
2-1
29%
1-2
19%
0-2
15%
Elo Gap+102
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)