3 Sept · 17:30 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel MadridElite · Strong Favorite
AC
AT
🎾Coello/Tapia
ELO 2533
FormWWWWW
97%Win chancemodel fair 1.03Coello/Tapia
MA
JT
🎾Tello/Arce
ELO 2008
FormWLWLW
97%
3%
Fair odds · Coello/Tapia
Model 97% · 1.03vsMarket 88% · 1.14· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -4.5 · Coello/Tapia covers
Model 62%vsMarket 58%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 4.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 79%Total ~23 games
2-0
79%
2-1
17%
1-2
2%
0-2
1%
Elo Gap+525
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+525)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)