4 Sept · 18:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel MadridElite · Strong Favorite
AC
AT
🎾Coello/Tapia
ELO 2536
FormWWWWW
98%Win chancemodel fair 1.02Coello/Tapia
MY
JN
🎾Yanguas/Nieto
ELO 1919
FormWWLWW
98%
2%
Fair odds · Coello/Tapia
Model 98% · 1.02vsMarket 88% · 1.14· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -5.5 · Coello/Tapia covers
Model 51%vsMarket 46%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 5.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 84%Total ~23 games
2-0
84%
2-1
14%
1-2
1%
0-2
1%
Elo Gap+617
H2H6-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+617)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-0)