5 Sept · 18:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel MadridMedium · Model Lean
MY
JN
🎾Nieto/Yanguas
ELO 1984
FormWWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Nieto/Yanguas
GA
TL
🎾Alfonso/Libaak
ELO 1930
FormWWWWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Nieto/Yanguas
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~26 games
2-0
31%
2-1
27%
1-2
22%
0-2
20%
Elo Gap+54
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)