8 Sept · 12:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel Paris. WomenElite · Strong Favorite
LG
DV
🎾Valenzuela/Godallier
ELO 1901
FormLWWWW
94%Win chancemodel fair 1.06Valenzuela/Godallier
MN
MB
🎾Navarro/Borrero
ELO 1481
FormLWLL
94%
6%
Fair odds · Valenzuela/Godallier
Model 94% · 1.06vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -1.5 · Valenzuela/Godallier covers
Model 81%vsMarket 50%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 1.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 72%Total ~24 games
2-0
72%
2-1
22%
1-2
4%
0-2
2%
Elo Gap+420
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+420)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)