8 Sept · 12:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel ParisElite · Strong Favorite
FG
PL
🎾Gil/Lijo
ELO 1607
FormLLWWW
87%Win chancemodel fair 1.15Alfonso/Libaak
GA
TL
🎾Alfonso/Libaak
ELO 1902
FormLWWWW
13%
87%
Fair odds · Alfonso/Libaak
Model 87% · 1.15vsMarket 71% · 1.42· vig 5%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -3.5 · Alfonso/Libaak covers
Model 71%vsMarket 50%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 3.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~25 games
0-2
60%
1-2
27%
2-1
8%
2-0
5%
Elo Gap+295
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+295)