9 Sept · 17:30 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel ParisElite · Strong Favorite
PH
GC
🎾Hernandez/Collado
ELO 1654
FormWLLLW
91%Win chancemodel fair 1.10Nenno/Navarro
MN
FN
🎾Nenno/Navarro
ELO 2017
FormLWWLW
9%
91%
Fair odds · Nenno/Navarro
Model 91% · 1.10vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -4.5 · Nenno/Navarro covers
Model 62%vsMarket 49%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 4.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 67%Total ~24 games
0-2
67%
1-2
25%
2-1
6%
2-0
3%
Elo Gap+363
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+363)