11 Sept · 19:30 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel ParisElite · Strong Favorite
JS
FS
🎾Stupaczuk/Sanz
ELO 1834
FormWWLWW
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Nenno/Navarro
MN
FN
🎾Nenno/Navarro
ELO 2042
FormWWLWW
21%
79%
Fair odds · Nenno/Navarro
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -2.5 · Nenno/Navarro covers
Model 78%vsMarket 49%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 2.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~26 games
0-2
50%
1-2
29%
2-1
12%
2-0
9%
Elo Gap+208
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+208)