11 Sept · 20:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel ParisElite · Strong Favorite
EA
AG
🎾Alonso/Goñi
ELO 1855
FormWWLLW
97%Win chancemodel fair 1.03Galan/Chingotto
FC
AG
🎾Galan/Chingotto
ELO 2419
FormWWWWW
3%
97%
Fair odds · Galan/Chingotto
Model 97% · 1.03vsMarket 88% · 1.13· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -5.5 · Galan/Chingotto covers
Model 50%vsMarket 46%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 5.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 82%Total ~23 games
0-2
82%
1-2
16%
2-1
2%
2-0
1%
Elo Gap+564
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+564)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)