12 Sept · 17:30 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel ParisElite · Strong Favorite
MN
FN
🎾Navarro/Nenno
ELO 2062
FormWWWLW
91%Win chancemodel fair 1.10Galan/Chingotto
FC
AG
🎾Galan/Chingotto
ELO 2422
FormWWWWW
9%
91%
Fair odds · Galan/Chingotto
Model 91% · 1.10vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -4.5 · Galan/Chingotto covers
Model 62%vsMarket 46%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 4.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 66%Total ~24 games
0-2
66%
1-2
25%
2-1
6%
2-0
3%
Elo Gap+360
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+360)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)