12 Sept · 14:30 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel ParisElite · Strong Favorite
AC
AT
🎾Tapia/Coello
ELO 2483
FormWWWLW
91%Win chancemodel fair 1.10Tapia/Coello
LA
JL
🎾Lebron/Augsburger
ELO 2112
FormWWWLW
91%
9%
Fair odds · Tapia/Coello
Model 91% · 1.10vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -3.5 · Tapia/Coello covers
Model 71%vsMarket 54%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 3.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 67%Total ~24 games
2-0
67%
2-1
24%
1-2
5%
0-2
3%
Elo Gap+371
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+371)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)