12 Sept · 13:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel Paris. WomenElite · Strong Favorite
AS
DS
🎾Sanchez/Sanchez
ELO 1442
FormL
97%Win chancemodel fair 1.03Gallego/Araujo
SA
MG
🎾Gallego/Araujo
ELO 1976
FormWWWLW
3%
97%
Fair odds · Gallego/Araujo
Model 97% · 1.03vsMarket 34% · 2.95· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -3.5 · Gallego/Araujo covers
Model 71%vsMarket 50%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 3.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 80%Total ~23 games
0-2
80%
1-2
17%
2-1
2%
2-0
1%
Elo Gap+534
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+534)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)