13 Sept · 16:30 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel ParisMedium · Model Lean
AC
AT
🎾Coello/Tapia
ELO 2492
FormWWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Coello/Tapia
FC
AG
🎾Galan/Chingotto
ELO 2433
FormWWWWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Coello/Tapia
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -3.5 · Coello/Tapia covers
Model 51%vsMarket 49%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 3.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~26 games
2-0
32%
2-1
28%
1-2
22%
0-2
19%
Elo Gap+59
H2H26-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-13)