29 Sept · 18:30 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel RotterdamHigh · Clear Favorite
FG
PL
🎾Gil/Lijo
ELO 1646
FormWLWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Quilez/Mouriño
FM
MQ
🎾Quilez/Mouriño
ELO 1726
FormLWLWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Quilez/Mouriño
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 34% · 2.95· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -3.5 · Quilez/Mouriño covers
Model 50%vsMarket 49%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 3.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~26 games
0-2
34%
1-2
28%
2-1
20%
2-0
17%
Elo Gap+80
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)