30 Sept · 10:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel Rotterdam. WomenElite · Strong Favorite
JB
VR
🎾Bidahorria/Riera
ELO 1967
FormWWWWW
91%Win chancemodel fair 1.10Bidahorria/Riera
GM
LA
🎾Marchetti/Arruabarrena
ELO 1612
FormLWWLL
91%
9%
Fair odds · Bidahorria/Riera
Model 91% · 1.10vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -2.5 · Bidahorria/Riera covers
Model 78%vsMarket 50%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 2.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 66%Total ~24 games
2-0
66%
2-1
25%
1-2
6%
0-2
4%
Elo Gap+355
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+355)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)