1 Oct · 11:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel RotterdamElite · Strong Favorite
LA
JL
🎾Augsburger/Lebron
ELO 2103
FormLWWWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Augsburger/Lebron
MA
JT
🎾Arce/Tello
ELO 1930
FormWLLWL
75%
25%
Fair odds · Augsburger/Lebron
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -4.5 · Augsburger/Lebron covers
Model 62%vsMarket 46%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 4.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~26 games
2-0
46%
2-1
30%
1-2
14%
0-2
11%
Elo Gap+173
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+173)