1 Oct · 20:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel RotterdamElite · Strong Favorite
JS
FS
🎾Stupaczuk/Sanz
ELO 1873
FormWLWWW
84%Win chancemodel fair 1.19Stupaczuk/Sanz
PH
MC
🎾Hernandez/Castaño
ELO 1614
FormWLW
84%
16%
Fair odds · Stupaczuk/Sanz
Model 84% · 1.19vsMarket 83% · 1.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -4.5 · Stupaczuk/Sanz covers
Model 62%vsMarket 54%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 4.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~25 games
2-0
56%
2-1
28%
1-2
10%
0-2
6%
Elo Gap+259
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+259)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)