6 Oct · 15:30 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel DusseldorfElite · Strong Favorite
AA
JJ
🎾Jimenez/Arroyo
ELO 1775
FormLWWWL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Jimenez/Arroyo
PH
MC
🎾Hernandez/Castaño
ELO 1595
FormLWLW
76%
24%
Fair odds · Jimenez/Arroyo
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -0.5 · Jimenez/Arroyo covers
Model 81%vsMarket 50%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 0.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~26 games
2-0
46%
2-1
30%
1-2
14%
0-2
10%
Elo Gap+180
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+180)