8 Oct · 09:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel DusseldorfElite · Strong Favorite
PH
MC
🎾Hernandez/Castaño
ELO 1668
FormWLWLW
92%Win chancemodel fair 1.09Nenno/Navarro
MN
FN
🎾Nenno/Navarro
ELO 2046
FormWLWLW
8%
92%
Fair odds · Nenno/Navarro
Model 92% · 1.09vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -5.5 · Nenno/Navarro covers
Model 50%vsMarket 44%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 5.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~24 games
0-2
68%
1-2
24%
2-1
5%
2-0
3%
Elo Gap+378
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+378)