7 Oct · 12:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel DusseldorfHigh · Clear Favorite
MG
AG
🎾Gonzalez/Gonzalez
ELO 1502
FormLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Geens/Moltò
CG
NM
🎾Geens/Moltò
ELO 1593
FormWLWLW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Geens/Moltò
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 28% · 3.58· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -3.5 · Geens/Moltò covers
Model 50%vsMarket 50%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 3.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~26 games
0-2
35%
1-2
29%
2-1
19%
2-0
16%
Elo Gap+91
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)