8 Oct · 12:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel DusseldorfElite · Strong Favorite
MA
JT
🎾Tello/Arce
ELO 1937
FormWLWLL
88%Win chancemodel fair 1.14Tello/Arce
CG
NM
🎾Geens/Moltò
ELO 1625
FormWWLWL
88%
12%
Fair odds · Tello/Arce
Model 88% · 1.14vsMarket 83% · 1.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -4.5 · Tello/Arce covers
Model 62%vsMarket 54%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 4.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~25 games
2-0
61%
2-1
27%
1-2
7%
0-2
5%
Elo Gap+312
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+312)