10 Oct · 19:30 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel DusseldorfElite · Strong Favorite
JS
FS
🎾Stupaczuk/Sanz
ELO 2084
FormWWLWW
84%Win chancemodel fair 1.19Galan/Chingotto
FC
AG
🎾Galan/Chingotto
ELO 2348
FormWWLWL
16%
84%
Fair odds · Galan/Chingotto
Model 84% · 1.19vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -4.5 · Galan/Chingotto covers
Model 62%vsMarket 46%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 4.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~25 games
0-2
56%
1-2
28%
2-1
9%
2-0
6%
Elo Gap+264
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+264)