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11 Oct · 16:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel DusseldorfElite · Strong Favorite
ACArturo Coello
ATAgustin Tapia
🎾Tapia/Coello
ELO 2542
FormWWWWW
93%Win chancemodel fair 1.08Tapia/Coello
JSJon Sanz
FSFranco Stupaczuk
🎾Sanz/Stupaczuk
ELO 2138
FormWWWLW
93%
7%
Fair odds · Tapia/Coello
Model 93% · 1.08vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 7%

Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.

Games handicap -4.5 · Tapia/Coello covers
Model 62%vsMarket 46%

Chance the favourite wins by more than 4.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.

Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 70%Total ~24 games
2-0
70%
2-1
23%
1-2
4%
0-2
3%
Elo Gap+404
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
  • ✓Higher Elo rating (+404)