13 Oct · 09:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel Milan. WomenElite · Strong Favorite
JB
VR
🎾Riera/Bidahorria
ELO 1968
FormWLWWL
96%Win chancemodel fair 1.04Riera/Bidahorria
L
EL
🎾Lopez/Lopez
ELO 1461
FormL
96%
4%
Fair odds · Riera/Bidahorria
Model 96% · 1.04vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -3.5 · Riera/Bidahorria covers
Model 71%vsMarket 50%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 3.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 78%Total ~23 games
2-0
78%
2-1
18%
1-2
2%
0-2
1%
Elo Gap+507
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+507)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)