14 Oct · 09:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel MilanElite · Strong Favorite
RP
JM
🎾Pereyra/Marmolejo
ELO 1800
FormWLWWW
89%Win chancemodel fair 1.12Stupaczuk/Sanz
JS
FS
🎾Stupaczuk/Sanz
ELO 2131
FormLWWWL
11%
89%
Fair odds · Stupaczuk/Sanz
Model 89% · 1.12vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -5.5 · Stupaczuk/Sanz covers
Model 51%vsMarket 46%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 5.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~25 games
0-2
63%
1-2
26%
2-1
7%
2-0
4%
Elo Gap+331
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+331)