14 Oct · 09:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel MilanElite · Strong Favorite
MD
ND
🎾Deus/Deus
ELO 1621
FormWLWWW
99%Win chancemodel fair 1.01Galan/Chingotto
FC
AG
🎾Galan/Chingotto
ELO 2294
FormLWWLW
1%
99%
Fair odds · Galan/Chingotto
Model 99% · 1.01vsMarket 88% · 1.13· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -5.5 · Galan/Chingotto covers
Model 51%vsMarket 50%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 5.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 87%Total ~22 games
0-2
87%
1-2
12%
2-1
1%
Elo Gap+673
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+673)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)