Garrido/Pascual vs Navarro/Nenno — Padel

15 Oct · 13:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel MilanElite · Strong Favorite

🎾Garrido/Pascual

ELO 1705

FormWLWLW

89%Win chancemodel fair 1.12Navarro/Nenno

🎾Navarro/Nenno

ELO 2032

FormWLWWL

11%

89%

Fair odds · Navarro/Nenno

Model 89% · 1.12vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 6%

Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.

Games handicap -3.5 · Navarro/Nenno covers

Model 71%vsMarket 54%

Chance the favourite wins by more than 3.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.

Markets

Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~25 games

0-2

63%

1-2

26%

2-1

2-0

Elo Gap+327

H2H0-0

Why this call

Why this pick? · 1 reason