16 Oct · 21:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel MilanElite · Strong Favorite
LA
JL
🎾Augsburger/Lebron
ELO 2126
FormWWLWW
89%Win chancemodel fair 1.12Augsburger/Lebron
JG
JP
🎾Garrido/Pascual
ELO 1792
FormWWLWL
89%
11%
Fair odds · Augsburger/Lebron
Model 89% · 1.12vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -4.5 · Augsburger/Lebron covers
Model 62%vsMarket 49%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 4.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 64%Total ~25 games
2-0
64%
2-1
26%
1-2
6%
0-2
4%
Elo Gap+334
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+334)