16 Oct · 19:30 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel MilanElite · Strong Favorite
GA
TL
🎾Libaak/Alfonso
ELO 2075
FormWWLWW
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Galan/Chingotto
FC
AG
🎾Galan/Chingotto
ELO 2299
FormWWLWW
19%
81%
Fair odds · Galan/Chingotto
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 83% · 1.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -4.5 · Galan/Chingotto covers
Model 62%vsMarket 51%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 4.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~25 games
0-2
52%
1-2
29%
2-1
11%
2-0
8%
Elo Gap+224
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+224)