17 Oct · 14:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel MilanElite · Strong Favorite
AC
AT
🎾Tapia/Coello
ELO 2557
FormWWWWW
92%Win chancemodel fair 1.09Tapia/Coello
JS
FS
🎾Stupaczuk/Sanz
ELO 2166
FormWWWLW
92%
8%
Fair odds · Tapia/Coello
Model 92% · 1.09vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -4.5 · Tapia/Coello covers
Model 62%vsMarket 56%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 4.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~24 games
2-0
69%
2-1
23%
1-2
5%
0-2
3%
Elo Gap+391
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+391)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)