11 Nov · 07:00 MEZ · 🎾 Premier Padel DubaiElite · Strong Favorite
MD
ND
🎾Deus/Deus
ELO 1589
FormLWLWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Hernandez/Castaño
PH
MC
🎾Hernandez/Castaño
ELO 1688
FormLWWLW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Hernandez/Castaño
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -3.5 · Hernandez/Castaño covers
Model 50%vsMarket 46%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 3.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~26 games
0-2
36%
1-2
29%
2-1
19%
2-0
16%
Elo Gap+99
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)