11 Nov · 07:00 MEZ · 🎾 Premier Padel DubaiElite · Strong Favorite
TA
PL
🎾Lijo/Aguirre
ELO 1494
FormL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Castillo/Vilariño
MC
NV
🎾Castillo/Vilariño
ELO 1710
FormLLWLW
20%
80%
Fair odds · Castillo/Vilariño
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 38% · 2.65· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -2.5 · Castillo/Vilariño covers
Model 78%vsMarket 51%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 2.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~26 games
0-2
51%
1-2
29%
2-1
12%
2-0
8%
Elo Gap+216
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+216)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)