26 Jun · 12:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1560
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Riadynskyi
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1583
FormLLLLW
48%
52%
🌟Strutinskiy rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (20)
Fair odds · Riadynskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+23
H2H44-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.