26 Jun · 14:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1583
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lievshin
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1629
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H2-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)