26 Jun · 09:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MH
🇺🇦Michael Hasman
ELO 1503
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hasman
KP
🇺🇦Karel Polak
ELO 1497
FormLLWLL
51%
49%
🌟Hasman stays under total as favourite 73% (22)
Fair odds · Hasman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+6
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.