26 Jun · 09:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1537
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hrekh
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1530
FormWWLLW
51%
49%
🌟Shchegelskyi covers set handicap as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Hrekh
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+7
H2H8-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.